Will the total number of registered Democrats in the US be lower in the 2026 election than in the 2024 election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection1j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51.6%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
8 nov. 24, 18:16 UTC4 nov. 26, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
I'm using this metric to evaluate a prediction from Andrew Yang: Abandon Policing Cultural Behaviors | Blog | Andrew Yang
- "In many ways, these all boil down to one thing: The Democratic Party should act more democratically.
- But they will do none of these things.
- Instead, they will begin jockeying for position within the party to run in 2028.
- That is why more and more voters will look for options, like the Forward Party, or declare themselves independents as Trump returns to power.
- Institutions incapable of reform get replaced."
