Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 59.4%
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18
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
21 mars 24, 08:02 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an aeroplane take off from Heathrow's Third Runway before these dates?
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ForecastExRègles
Heathrow has successfully obtained permission to build a third runway, and post COVID recovery means passenger numbers have returned to close to theoretical capacity so there is reason to build it.
- However, funding for the runway is not in place, and a cost of £15 billion+ would need to be financed.
- Will construction begin before 2030? Or will Heathrow go back to the drawing board and come up with a new plan that isn't building a runway in the position proposed (in which case this resolves NO)?
