Will an aeroplane take off from Heathrow's Third Runway before these dates?
19.2 pts (24h)One-OffEntreprises et affaires3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
1st January 2045 52.1%-19.2ptEn tête parmi 5 options
1st January 2045 52.1%-19.2ptPrévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-28.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
30 janv. 25, 15:49 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Definition of a third runway: any permanent runway structure built at Heathrow Airport which is NOT Runway 09L/27R OR Runway 09R/27L and which does NOT function as e.g. a temporary replacement for the existing two runways while they are not in service.
- That is, all three runways must be in active service for this to count.
- Each answer resolves NO if no aeroplane has taken off from a third runway at Heathrow Airport by 00:01 on that date.
- On the date that any aeroplane takes off from a third runway, all outstanding answers resolve YES.