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Will the “Stop climate shakedowns act” pass by the end of 2026?

PolitiqueOne-OffWeather Élection3mois

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 87.7%

Prévisionnistes

3

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 heures

Obsolète

29 juin 26, 18:40 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

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Règles

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the "Stop Climate Shakedowns Act" (specifically S. 4340 or H.R. 8330 of the 119th Congress, or any substantially identical federal legislation passed under the same name) is enacted into law on or before December 31, 2026.
To qualify as enacted, the bill must either be signed into law by the President or passed via a congressional override of a presidential veto, with the official status updated to "Became Public Law No: X" on Congress.gov by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026.
If the bill has not been officially enacted into law by the end of 2026, the market resolves to NO.
The Stop Climate Shakedowns Act was introduced in April 2026 by Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) in the Senate and Representative Harriet Hageman (R-WY) in the House.
The legislation is designed to grant sweeping legal immunity to fossil fuel companies by prohibiting state and federal courts from hearing climate-related liability lawsuits.

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the “Stop climate shakedowns act” pass by the end of 2026? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will the “Stop climate shakedowns act” pass by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will the “Stop climate shakedowns act” pass by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
Comment Will the “Stop climate shakedowns act” pass by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria

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