Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
One-OffCommodities7jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.3%
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7
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard2 mars 26, 18:09 UTC29 sept. 26, 18:08 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on September 29, 2026?
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KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.
- This includes verified production or export shortfalls directly attributable to the ban, impacting global lithium feedstock availability.
- The threshold of 10 kt is near expected supply impact estimates, reflecting a meaningful disruption given Zimbabwe's role in spodumene supply.
- Minor fluctuations or unrelated supply changes do not count.
- Resolution will rely on official government announcements, mining company disclosures, or recognized market intelligence published on or shortly after the settlement date.
- Zimbabwe's export ban removes a significant portion of global lithium feedstock.
Marchés ouverts
CommoditiesPOLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 309,7 k €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.440099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.460099%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 104,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 103,7 k €
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt35%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt26%
- Before Feb 1, 202712%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,5 M €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $1.09999%
- Above $2.09999%
- Above $1.79999%
+37 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 97 k €
- Volume 24h
- 96,7 k €
KALSHIHow high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- $115.01 or above-2.2pt36%
- $120.01 or above-5.6pt31%
- $125.01 or above-2.7pt27%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt67%
- Above $4.80-4.0pt49%
- Above $5.00+3.0pt40%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- US gas prices this week
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 21, 2026
- Colorado gas prices tomorrow
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 22, 2026?
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Georgia gas prices tomorrow
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 77% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? doit être résolu le 29 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.