Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 88%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète1 oct. 23, 02:28 UTC2 déc. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
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Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItWill a woman be elected US vice president in 2028?
PredictItRègles
Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
- To resolve the market positive, the new President's 70th birthday should be prior to the day of their election.
- Excludes anyone who has ever been (edit 26 aug 2024: elected) president before.
- Applies regardless of their election date.
- Resolves NA if no one new is elected US President by 2029.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70? doit être résolu le 2 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?