Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 91.1%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 heures
Obsolète1 oct. 23, 02:28 UTC2 déc. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a male be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItRègles
Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
- To resolve the market positive, the new President's 70th birthday should be prior to the day of their election.
- Excludes anyone who has ever been (edit 26 aug 2024: elected) president before.
- Applies regardless of their election date.
- Resolves NA if no one new is elected US President by 2029.
