Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the next UK general election? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 57.2% au 29 octobre 2026.

Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the next UK general election?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 57.2%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 heure

En retard

5 juil. 24, 10:39 UTC12 août 29, 22:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

The next general election will be held no later than August 2029.

Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the most seats at that election, as happened last time (2024)?
For these purposes, win means largest party.
As determined by Wikipedia entry (here is the 2024 equivalent: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endorsements_in_the_2024_United_Kingdom_general_election)
In case of no endorsement, market resolves N/A. A repeat of this market for the 2029 general election: https://manifold.markets/Nico/will-the-party-endorsed-by-the-sun#5834b77e-58bd-4e5d-a2e0-705235858385