Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 99%
Prévisionnistes
48
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète15 juil. 26, 21:58 UTC15 août 27, 21:54 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many movies will gross >$1 billion in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRègles
Resolution source: BoxOfficeMojo, "WORLDWIDE".
- For reference, "Oppenheimer" has a worldwide gross of $975,811,333.
- I won't necessarily wait to resolve until "The Odyssey" is no longer earning any money in theaters—I may resolve NO early if there have been multiple consecutive weeks with sufficiently small gross that the outcome is overwhelmingly clear.
Marchés ouverts
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+3.0pt99%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55+4.0pt94%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 314,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 33,6 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 152%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams30%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 586,3 €
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 76,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 455,5 €
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,1 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 8M+95%
- 6M+58%
- 12M+55%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 30,1 €
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will SHREK 5 be delayed?
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- Who will be the next Bond girl?
- What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
- Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
- Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
- Will The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 99% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide? doit être résolu le 15 août 2027.
- Comment Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution source: BoxOfficeMojo, "WORLDWIDE".