Will the number of U.S. Supreme Court Justices confirmed between June 15, 2026 and January 20, 2029 be at least one?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 86.9%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète15 juin 26, 14:09 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
KalshiHow many supreme court justices will Trump appoint during his current term
Manifold MarketsHow many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
KalshiWill Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
Manifold MarketsHow many justices will be appointed to the Supreme Court during the current presidential term?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between June 15, 2026, and January 20, 2029 (inclusive), the United States Senate votes to confirm at least one nominee to the Supreme Court of the United States.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Date Range: The official Senate confirmation vote must take place on or after June 15, 2026, and on or before 11:59:59 AM ET on January 20, 2029.
- Definition of Confirmation: A nominee is considered "confirmed" when the U.S. Senate passes a vote to advise and consent to the nomination.
- Actual swearing-in, taking the judicial oath, or officially assuming office is not required for a "YES" resolution, provided the Senate confirmation vote is successful within the specified timeframe.
