Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.4%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète21 déc. 25, 03:36 UTC31 déc. 38, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next Non Republican president abolish ICE?
Manifold MarketsWill the next non Republican president remove Trump's name from the Kennedy Center in their first year?
Manifold MarketsNext non-Republican US President wins Nobel Peace Prize?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a non-Republican candidate next win the presidency of the US?
Manifold MarketsWhich Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if the next president to take office who is not a Republican formally abolishes the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency through legislation or executive action.
- Abolition means the agency ceases to exist as a distinct entity, with its functions either eliminated or transferred to other agencies.
- The market resolves NO if such a president takes office and does not abolish ICE during their term(s).
- A Term is for the person who wins and their successor if they leave the office early.
- For example if someone is elected in 2028 and leaves in 2030 but ice is abolished in 2031, it would still resolve yes, as that person who succeeded them is considered as finishing the term (jan 2029-jan 2033) for this Market.