Will the Kenya Universal Basic Income experiment find that UBI significantly reduces local crime?
One-OffSociété et cultureCriminalité et justice8mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 69.5%
Oui 69.5%Prévisionnistes
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Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète10 janv. 23, 15:40 UTC31 mai 27, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
Households in two Kenyan counties were randomly assigned to receive (or not) about US$0.75 per adult per day for 2 or 12 years.
- Transfers began in 2018.
- https://www.socialscienceregistry.org/trials/1952
- At the bottom of above link is the pre-analysis plan.
- Local crime measured by responses of village elders to survey questions.
- https://www.poverty-action.org/study/effects-universal-basic-income-kenya
