Will the Israeli government significantly undermine the next election?
One-OffÉlectionPolitiqueMoyen-Orient
Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (92.7%)
Résolu: 11 oct. 2026, 17:58
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 10 oct. 2026, 04:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketWho will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
Manifold MarketsHow long will the the Israeli government last after the upcoming elections?
Manifold MarketsIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketIsraeli election results in a hung parliament?
PolymarketRègles
Examples of things that would qualify:
- Postponing the election by three months or more (past the full 4-year term)
- Banning one or more (nontrivial) parties from running (e.g. banning one of the main Arab parties)
- Introducing significant barriers to voting (e.g. removing voting booths from most Arab towns or making election day not be a holiday)
- This isn't a universal description, but that's the minimum level of severity for this to settle as yes.
- Will answer whether any other hypotheticals raised in the comments count.
