Will "The Inkhaven Residency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
DivertissementOne-OffMusicSociety & Culture4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.2%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
4 août 25, 01:27 UTC1 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Inkhaven Residency is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Marchés ouverts
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- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+33.0pt44.9%
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- Above 27+6.0pt99%
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- Above 50+1.0pt97%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55-3.0pt90%
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- 314 k €
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- 950 - 960m+10.5pt70.3%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "The Inkhaven Residency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will "The Inkhaven Residency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will "The Inkhaven Residency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.
- Comment Will "The Inkhaven Residency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.