Will the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?
One-OffSociety & CultureGéopolitiqueMacro & Economy3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 94.1%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète20 mars 23, 23:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 13:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market aims to predict whether the foreign population of Japan will reach or exceed 5 million people for the 2025 census.
- In 2020, the foreign population in Japan is approximately 2.76 million.
- Despite Japan's historically restrictive immigration policy, there are several factors that may contribute to an increase in the foreign population.
- This chart shows the growth of the foreign population of Japan between 1950 and 2020:
- [image]Demographic Challenges: Japan's aging population and declining birthrate have resulted in a shrinking workforce, which could push the government to relax immigration policies to fill the labor shortage.
- To maintain economic growth and social welfare, Japan might need to rely on foreign workers to supplement its workforce, especially in industries such as healthcare, construction, and agriculture.