Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 23:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 68%
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37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète12 mars 26, 06:47 UTC30 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsIf X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Democrats win a majority of the 100 Senate seats following elections in 2026.
- The Democrats would need 51 seats to control the chamber.
- If seat >= 51 resolve as YES
- If seat < 51 resolve as NO
- If the election is cancelled resolve as NO
