Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 51.2%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète12 mars 26, 06:47 UTC30 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Democrats win a majority of the 100 Senate seats following elections in 2026.
- The Democrats would need 51 seats to control the chamber.
- If seat >= 51 resolve as YES
- If seat < 51 resolve as NO
- If the election is cancelled resolve as NO
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria