Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
PolitiqueOne-OffDivertissementMusicUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 16 juil. 2026, 15:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelleIn Office 82.9%+56.2%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 jours
Obsolète15 juil. 26, 14:194 nov. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
In Office83%
Tendance du volume
$17215 juil.2j de données16 juil.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official status of Donald Trump on November 4, 2027, at 12:00 AM Eastern Time (ET).
- Exactly one of the following options will resolve YES, and all other options will resolve NO:
- In Office: Donald Trump is the sitting President of the United States.
- Out of Office due to death: Donald Trump is no longer in office, and his departure was caused by his death.
- Out of Office due to removal: Donald Trump is no longer in office, and his departure was due to conviction following impeachment by the Senate or permanent removal via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.