Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleIn Office 82.9%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 juil. 26, 14:19 UTC4 nov. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PredictItRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official status of Donald Trump on November 4, 2027, at 12:00 AM Eastern Time (ET).
- Exactly one of the following options will resolve YES, and all other options will resolve NO:
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is the sitting President of the United States.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was caused by his death.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was due to conviction following impeachment by the Senate or permanent removal via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote In Office à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2027.
- Comment Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria