Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlectionÉchecsSport1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 51.4%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète22 juil. 25, 11:40 UTC25 sept. 28, 11:37 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRègles
The next federal election to elect the 49th Parliament of Australia must occur before the 23rd of September, 2028.
- If the ALP gets a majority of seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, this market will resolve YES.
- Otherwise NO.
- To be clear, because they have to win a majority of seats for this market to resolve to YES, even if they form a minority government (e.g. as they did in 2010) with the help of crossbenchers declaring support on confidence and supply, this market will still resolve to NO.
