Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉchecsPolitique américaineÉlectionSport1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 29 oct. 2026, 14:32 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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17
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour hier
Obsolète23 juin 26, 16:16 UTC31 mai 28, 23:59 UTC
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The next federal election to elect the 49th Parliament of Australia must occur before the 23rd of September, 2028.
- If One Nation gets a majority of seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, this market will resolve YES.
- Otherwise NO.
- To be clear, because they have to win a majority of seats for this market to resolve to YES, even if they form a minority government (e.g. as Labor did in 2010) with the help of crossbenchers declaring support on confidence and supply, this market will still resolve to NO.
