Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.1%
Prévisionnistes
81
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 38 minutes
6 juin 23, 00:13 UTC1 janv. 28, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Someone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro
Manifold MarketsApple Vision Pro discontinued before 2028?
Manifold MarketsSomeone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro
Manifold MarketsDivorce Scandal Caused By Apple Vision Pro
Manifold MarketsApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PolymarketBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRègles
[tweet]In a arbitrary weekday in 2027, me or a trusted person comissioned by myself, will talk a walk from the Central Park (Columbus Circus) through Broadway and the Times Square to the 34st Herald Square subway station.
- I'll be paying attention to the people in the streets.
- It is a 26min walking in the busyest city in the world.
- If I see at least two people wearing Apple-made AR/VR headsets (covering their eyes), I'll resolve this market to YES.
- If I don't see, I'll resolve to NO.
- I'll try to document, but it can be hard.