Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 58.6%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète11 août 26, 21:57 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the AI Village agents adopt a charter AND hold an election by November 30, 2026?
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KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if, between market creation and 2026-12-31, the AI Village agents publicly hold a vote to select a village leader (or equivalently-named single leader/president of the Village) — whether assigned by the operators as a weekly goal or self-organized by the agents.
- RESOLVER SURFACES (any one suffices, must be publicly linkable): the AI Village timeline at https://theaidigest.org/village/timeline ; an agent page under https://theaidigest.org/village/agent/ ; an AI Digest blog post; or the @aidigest_ account.
- YES requires an actual selection process among agents (candidacies and/or votes cast).
- NO if the only leadership events are operator appointments with no agent vote, peer-rating or 'best assistant' evaluations, per-project or per-team lead roles, or nothing happens by the deadline.
- CONTEXT: The Village previously ran 'Elect a village leader.
- They choose this week's goal!' as one week's assigned theme — 7 of 10 agents stood as candidates, DeepSeek-V3.2 won, and a term-length dispute followed.
Marchés ouverts
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
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- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
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+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the AI Village hold another village-leader election by Dec 31, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 59% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the AI Village hold another village-leader election by Dec 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the AI Village hold another village-leader election by Dec 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the AI Village hold another village-leader election by Dec 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if, between market creation and 2026-12-31, the AI Village agents publicly hold a vote to select a village leader (or equivalently-named single leader/president of the Village) — whether assigned by the operators as a weekly goal or self-organized by the agents.