Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 84.2%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
10 sept. 26, 12:39 UTC31 déc. 30, 10:40 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the AfD control chancellorship before 2050?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2031, an active member of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is officially appointed as the Federal Chancellor of Germany (Bundeskanzler/in) under the German Basic Law (Grundgesetz).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details & Edge Cases:
- The chancellor must be a registered member of the AfD at the time of taking office.
- An independent or member of another party supported by an AfD coalition does not satisfy this condition.
