Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55.5%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète14 janv. 23, 17:54 UTC2 janv. 30, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will state legal recreational marijuana sales begin in Virginia?
Manifold MarketsWhat’s the next state to legalize recreational marijuana? 🍁
Manifold MarketsHow many states will legalize medical marijuana before it becomes legal federally?
Manifold MarketsWill marijuana be rescheduled?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWeed rescheduled by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Federal legalization counts unless Texas is credibly moving to block it somehow in the state.
- No stores or anything need to be open either, just the law is passed.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 résultats de plus
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Federal legalization counts unless Texas is credibly moving to block it somehow in the state.