Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 67.9%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète1 août 26, 16:22 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Will result in YES:
- If tesla ever reaches market cap of
- 2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030.
- Market cap is at 758 000 000 000$
- Witch is 37.9% of 2T
- [image]Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.