Will Tennessee Amendment 3 (Marsy's Law crime victims' rights) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineCriminalité et justiceÉlection2j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 89%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
6 oct. 26, 06:51 UTC4 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if Tennessee Amendment 3 (Proposed amendment to Article I, Section 35 (rights of crime victims)) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Two prongs (Tenn.
- XI §3): (1) more YES than NO; (2) YES votes > half of all votes cast for governor.
- YES must exceed 50% of total gubernatorial votes; upheld in George v.
- Hargett (6th Cir. 2018).
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
