Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
PolitiqueQuarterlyUS PoliticsÉlection1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 70.7%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
5 mars 26, 19:59 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWho will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the November 2026 election for the Texas State Senate District 9 seat?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas?
PredictItWill Mike Rogers win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
In 2018 Beto O'Rourke closed the vote share gap to incumbent Ted Cruz to a mere 2.56% turning a safe seat into an unexpectedly close race.
- This market resolves YES if the difference between Talarico's and the winner's vote share in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas is strictly less than that, and resolves NO otherwise
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In 2018 Beto O'Rourke closed the vote share gap to incumbent Ted Cruz to a mere 2.56% turning a safe seat into an unexpectedly close race.