Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
PolitiqueMonthlyPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20269j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 82.3%
Prévisionnistes
43
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète5 mars 26, 19:59 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?
Manifold MarketsWill the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 1% or more of the vote?
Manifold MarketsWill the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 2% or more of the vote?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill James Talarico outperform the polls?
PredictItWill James Talarico outperform the polls?
KalshiRègles
In 2018 Beto O'Rourke closed the vote share gap to incumbent Ted Cruz to a mere 2.56% turning a safe seat into an unexpectedly close race.
- This market resolves YES if the difference between Talarico's and the winner's vote share in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas is strictly less than that, and resolves NO otherwise
