Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 55%
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 33 minutes
28 déc. 23, 22:52 UTC1 janv. 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
There are strong trends in the price of data storage devices:
- https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/historical-cost-of-computer-memory-and-storage
- https://www.backblaze.com/blog/hard-drive-cost-per-gigabyte/
- People have speculated that if the current trends persists the price per TB of SSDs will become cheaper than HDDs by 2030: https://www.reddit.com/r/DataHoarder/comments/17sljc1/as_requested_an_improved_chart_of_ssd_vs_hdd/?ref=share&ref_source=link
- This market closes on or before 1st of January 2031.
- The result will be YES if there is a period of at least 1 month where the average price per TB of the top 10 results of the commercially available SSDs is cheaper than the average price per TB of the top 10 results of the HDDs: https://diskprices.com/?locale=us&condition=new&disk_types=external_hdd,external_hdd25,internal_hdd,internal_hdd25,internal_sshd,internal_sas,external_ssd,internal_ssd,m2_ssd,m2_nvme,u2