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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Régulation
  3. Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?

RégulationIATech6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
No IPO by Dec 31, 2026 0.2%
En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes

17

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 jours

Obsolète
19 févr. 26, 21:3031 déc. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Manifold Markets
No IPO by Dec 31, 2026
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Yes — valuation under $500B
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Yes — valuation $500B–$1T
0.2%

Résultat choisi

Yes — valuation $1T–$1.5T4%

Règles

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • SpaceX has confirmed a target IPO date of 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether an IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, and at what valuation.
  • Resolution will be determined by the official IPO pricing as reported by major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, Financial Times) and SEC filings.
  • If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026." If an IPO occurs after June 30, 2026, but before year-end, it resolves to the appropriate valuation bracket.
  • If market conditions prevent an IPO from occurring by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026."

Marchés Associés

Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

380,4 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

328,4 €
≥$1.75T: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

289,8 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

11,1 €
Oui: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

339,3 k €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

47,9 k €
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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,937.52+2.68%SolanaSOL$65.45+3.04%EthereumETH$1,659.85+2.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.96%BNBBNB$600.65+2.80%XRPXRP$1.12+0.87%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • SpaceX has confirmed a target IPO date of 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether an IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, and at what valuation.
  • Resolution will be determined by the official IPO pricing as reported by major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, Financial Times) and SEC filings.
  • If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026." If an IPO occurs after June 30, 2026, but before year-end, it resolves to the appropriate valuation bracket.
  • If market conditions prevent an IPO from occurring by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026."