Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026?
BitcoinOne-OffIASociety & Culture3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 63.1%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète23 févr. 24, 18:01 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if there is an attempt made to scam someone that I personally know, by a technique made possible by generative AI by EoY 2026, and I learn about it.
- The scam attempt can use voice generation, video generation, or any similar form of analog AI based generation.
- The scammer must attempt to extract something (money/resources/info).
- The attempt need not be successful.
- The scam must target this individual specifically, by eg. faking voice of a friend, as opposed to eg. a mass circulated deepfake with a famous personality requesting money be sent to a bitcoin wallet.
- I'll only resolve positively if the target is someone I know in a personal capacity (friends/family/colleagues/etc).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 63.1% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if there is an attempt made to scam someone that I personally know, by a technique made possible by generative AI by EoY 2026, and I learn about it.