Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Matières premièresYearlyMacro et économieChine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 56%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard8 avr. 26, 14:23 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to December 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
