Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 80.4% au 27 octobre 2026.

Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030?

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Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 80.4%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes

1 juil. 23, 23:09 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Must qualify in such a way that a country that is or currently would be dark blue on this Wikipedia map would become red on this map.

A simple loss of protections does not qualify for the purposes of this question; it must be an inversion from legal to banned.
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