Will Republicans surprisingly win the house in 2026 midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 2026Politique américaineÉlection29j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.1%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète25 oct. 26, 18:01 UTC30 nov. 26, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?
KalshiSpeaker of the House after the midterms?
PolymarketWill Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the AP call control of the US House after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsSplit Senate and House in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Hakeem Jeffries be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Republican Party wins a majority of seats (at least 218 seats) in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections.
- Resolution will be determined once all race results are officially certified or when major decision desks (e.g., AP News, Decision Desk HQ) project a Republican majority.
- If Democrats or any other coalition win 218 or more seats, this market resolves to NO.
- Note on wording: Subjective terms in the title such as "surprisingly" are disregarded for resolution; the market resolves strictly on whether Republicans retain or win control of the House.
- The 2026 United States midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, with all 435 voting seats in the House of Representatives on the ballot.