Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 66.2%
Prévisionnistes
47
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète14 janv. 23, 12:39 UTC1 janv. 30, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Prince Harry and Meghan Markle divorce/break up before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Harry and Meghan divorce by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItGraham Platner divorce by October 31?
PolymarketHarry Kane Knighted in 2026
KalshiRègles
At the time of market creation, the Duke and Duchess of Sussex are making headlines due to the release of Harry's autobiography, which makes several sensational claims and has widened the rift between them and the rest of the British royal family.
- At present their relationship seems strong, but given the level of strife it has brought to both of them, it is not inconceivable that it could break down at some future point.
- This market resolves YES if the couple are legally divorced before 1st January 2030, NO otherwise.
Marchés ouverts
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POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
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- Volume 24h
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Prince Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Prince Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Prince Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Prince Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : At the time of market creation, the Duke and Duchess of Sussex are making headlines due to the release of Harry's autobiography, which makes several sensational claims and has widened the rift between them and the rest of the British royal family.