Will primary energy consumption per capita in France exceed 30,000 kWh/person/year in 2040?
One-OffMatières premièresMacro et économie14a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 62.8%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète6 oct. 26, 11:44 UTC31 déc. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if France’s primary energy use per person in calendar year 2040 is greater than 30,000 kWh per person per year, and NO otherwise.
- The resolution source will be Our World in Data’s “Primary energy use per person” series for France, using the first published 2040 value that is based on finalized annual energy data.
- The relevant metric is total primary energy supply per capita, measured in kWh/person/year.
- It includes commercially traded fossil fuels, nuclear energy, and modern renewables, and excludes traditional biomass.
- For reference, France’s value in 2025 was approximately 37,613 kWh/person/year.
- Its historical peak was approximately 52,066 kWh/person/year in 2004.
