Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 74.7%
Prévisionnistes
177
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 oct. 23, 03:22 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will prediction markets become extinct before 2100?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it mostly because of a judicial ruling?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if at least one prediction market platform has more than 1 million daily active users by 2028.
- Also resolves YES if an online sports betting platform has those engagement numbers AND has a substainstial component that is about politics, science, and other real-world events.
- So for example, I don't think that Betfair currently counts but it might in the future.