Will PolicyEngine publish its UK Autumn Budget analysis by 07:00 GMT on 29 Oct?
One-OffPolitiqueMacro et économie16jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 64.4%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète22 sept. 26, 14:33 UTC28 oct. 26, 22:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if a Wayback Machine capture timestamped at or before 07:00 GMT on Thursday 29 October 2026 shows both of these live at, or linked from, policyengine.org/uk/autumn-budget-2026: a written briefing with named authors on the Budget's household measures, and the interactive dashboard updated for the Budget.
- PolicyEngine will submit a capture at publication and any trader may submit one.
- PolicyEngine's Nuffield Foundation grant commits it to overnight Budget analysis; 07:00 is the team's own target for that.
- PolicyEngine controls or influences whether this market resolves YES.
- PolicyEngine staff and contractors do not trade in this market.
- If the Budget moves to another date in 2026, this market follows it and the close time moves with it.
