Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.1%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 mai 26, 04:10 UTC25 oct. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Paul Seixas win a grand tour before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho Young rider will have more uci points in 2027 Paul seixas, Isaac del Toro, Lenny Martinez or Paul Magnier
Manifold Markets2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
KalshiWhat will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Paul Seixas and Tadej Pogacar both start a race together, and Seixas has a higher finishing position than Pogacar at the end of that race.
- Resolves NO if this does not happen by the end of the 2026 cycling season.
- IMPORTANT: For the purposes of this market, individual stages of stage races will not be considered, only the final GC standings of the stage race.
- Context: Tadej Pogacar is the current #1 cyclist in the world, dominating across a wide variety of races.
- Paul Seixas is 19 years old and is considered a top-level cycling talent and possible successor to Pogacar.
- Seixas has already finished second to Pogacar twice this season, at Strade Bianche and Liege-Bastogne-Liege.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Paul Seixas defeat Tadej Pogacar in any race during the 2026 season? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Paul Seixas defeat Tadej Pogacar in any race during the 2026 season? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Paul Seixas defeat Tadej Pogacar in any race during the 2026 season? doit être résolu le 25 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Paul Seixas defeat Tadej Pogacar in any race during the 2026 season? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Paul Seixas and Tadej Pogacar both start a race together, and Seixas has a higher finishing position than Pogacar at the end of that race.