Will OpenAI or Anthropic file for bankruptcy before September 30, 2027?
Opérations sur titresOne-OffIA11mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.8%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 sept. 26, 12:42 UTC30 sept. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if either OpenAI or Anthropic files for bankruptcy (Chapter 7 or Chapter 11 in the US, or an equivalent insolvency proceeding elsewhere) before September 30, 2027.
- Fire sales, acquisitions, restructurings, or down rounds that do not involve a formal insolvency filing resolve NO.
- The entity means the main company and its principal operating subsidiaries as of September 2026.
- Context: a friend claimed on September 13, 2026 that absent regulatory capture, OpenAI or Anthropic will go bankrupt within a year.
- I don't buy it.
- Making the market so we can bet on it.
