Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 96.8%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète22 janv. 26, 04:51 UTC24 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiWhich is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- Neutron will resolve YES if Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket completes its first orbital flight before December 25, 2026.
- The first flight is expected to be in mid-2026, with the first flight vehicle expected to be shipped to Wallops during the first quarter of 2026.
- Resolution will be based on official confirmation from Rocket Lab or credible space industry sources (e.g., Spaceflight Now, NASASpaceflight.com) that the rocket has successfully reached orbit.
- A successful first flight requires reaching orbit; reaching suborbital altitudes or clearing the pad does not count.
- The market resolves NO if the first orbital flight does not occur by December 25, 2026.
Marchés ouverts
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KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Neutron Launch before Christmas? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Neutron Launch before Christmas? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Neutron Launch before Christmas? doit être résolu le 24 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Neutron Launch before Christmas? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria