Will Nebraska Initiative Measure 441 (online sports betting statute) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
RégulationOne-OffPolitiqueÉlection7j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.5%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 35 minutes
6 oct. 26, 06:48 UTC4 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if Nebraska Initiative Measure 441 (Online Sports Wagering Regulation: Shall statutes be enacted that: (1) Allow persons located within Nebraska to place sports wagers through an Internet-based platform when offered by an authorized gaming operator conducting games of chance within a licensed racetrack enclosure in Nebraska or the operator's platform provider; and (2) Regulate such sports wagers?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Majority of votes cast on the measure AND 'For' votes >= 35% of total votes cast at the election (Neb.
- III, sec. 4) 35% rule: even with a majority, 'For' votes must equal at least 35% of all voters casting ballots in the Nov 3 election (e.g., 100 voters -> at least 35 'For')
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):
