Will Nebraska Initiative Measure 442 (sex-based school sports teams) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
RégulationOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlection5j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 80.5%
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète6 oct. 26, 06:47 UTC4 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if Nebraska Initiative Measure 442 (Fairness for Girls: Shall the Nebraska Constitution be amended to provide: (1) Schools must expressly designate each athletic team or sport as one of the following based on biological sex: (a) Males, men, or boys; (b) females, women, or girls; or (c) coed or mixed; and (2) Athletic teams or sports designated for females, women, or girls shall not be open to students of the male sex?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Majority of votes cast on the measure AND 'For' votes >= 35% of total votes cast at the election (Neb.
- III, sec. 4) 35% rule: even with a majority, 'For' votes must equal at least 35% of all voters casting ballots in the Nov 3 election (e.g., 100 voters -> at least 35 'For')
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):
