Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?
PolitiqueOne-OffGéopolitiqueÉlection3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 25, 14:17 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The UK and France have multiple bilateral agreements aimed at reducing Channel crossings, including increased patrols, surveillance technology, and joint operations.
- However, there is currently no formal mechanism for systematically returning migrant boats to France.
- French vessels have sometimes been observed escorting boats into UK waters, and migrants are often brought to the UK by Border Force or Coastguard after being encountered in the Channel.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- For a continuous period of at least 30 days before 2030
