Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 75.3%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète29 juil. 24, 19:50 UTC26 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Michael Bay's Skibidi Toilet movie release before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full Skibidi Toilet episode to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsWill the Skibidi Toilet movie release before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Black Panther film: Main protagonist
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
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PolymarketRègles
Skibidi Toilet is a series of nonsensical videos which seemingly exist to make anyone over the age of 30 feel old.
- There are media reports that Michael Bay (director of many Transformers films as well as Pearl Harbour, Bad Boys 1 and 2, Armageddon and many more commercially successful films) will be making a film and TV franchise out of Skibidi Toilet with the president of Paramount saying that it, "could be the next Transformers or could be a Marvel universe.
- Will this happen? Or is this a bizarre story that ends up going nowhere?
- Resolution criteria:
- The film must be released in cinemas by the end of 2028.
- It must appear in at least 500 theatres in the US or gross at least $50 million internationally to qualify (the source of truth here will be Box Office Mojo).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028? doit être résolu le 26 novembre 2028.
- Comment Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Skibidi Toilet is a series of nonsensical videos which seemingly exist to make anyone over the age of 30 feel old.