Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 88.9%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète21 mai 23, 10:30 UTC1 févr. 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
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Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
KalshiWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRègles
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.