Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.3%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète19 févr. 26, 12:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
KalshiWill OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Meta release Llama 5?
Manifold MarketsWill Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
PolymarketWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiWho wins the annual video game predictions on the TripleClick podcast?
Manifold MarketsRègles
There are reports that Meta is developing a smartwatch (project codenamed “Malibu.”) The question resolves to Yes if a Meta-branded smartwatch becomes available for order before the end of 2026.
Marchés ouverts
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
- 12,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,2 M €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Meta release a smartwatch in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Meta release a smartwatch in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Meta release a smartwatch in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Meta release a smartwatch in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : There are reports that Meta is developing a smartwatch (project codenamed “Malibu.”) The question resolves to Yes if a Meta-branded smartwatch becomes available for order before the end of 2026.