Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?
One-OffSociété et culture4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.2%
Non 87.2%Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 heures
Obsolète1 nov. 22, 14:37 UTC1 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolves positively if members of the effective altruism community create a university that, as an explicit mission, has values / degrees that are focused in achieving goals considered part of the effective altruism worldview.
- Effective altruism need not be specifically mentioned, but I will use my subjective judgement if need be to determine whether the newly-created university is sufficiently EA-coded to merit a Yes resolution.
- 2023-01-07: I sold my shares and will no longer be trading in this market to avoid resolution conflict-of-interests.