Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.8%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète18 sept. 23, 19:27 UTC26 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Florida?
PredictItWho will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?
Manifold MarketsWho will become the next governor of New York after Kathy Hochul?
Manifold MarketsWho will become the next governor of Texas after Greg Abbott?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
[tweet]Republican House member Matt Gaetz has strongly hinted at a potential campaign for the 2026 Florida governorship.
- Will he be successful? If so, market will resolve as YES.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 847,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026? doit être résolu le 26 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : [tweet]Republican House member Matt Gaetz has strongly hinted at a potential campaign for the 2026 Florida governorship.