Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 70.7%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète1 juil. 25, 14:59 UTC6 nov. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Prabowo Subianto be re-elected to a second term in the 2029 Indonesian Presidential Election?
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PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
Resolves N/A if Mamdani loses this year.
- Resolves to the next election.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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- Volume total
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Mamdani be re-elected? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Mamdani be re-elected? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Mamdani be re-elected? doit être résolu le 6 novembre 2029.
- Comment Will Mamdani be re-elected? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves N/A if Mamdani loses this year.