Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75%
Prévisionnistes
0
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète31 mars 26, 16:21 UTC31 déc. 29, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2027?
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KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2029.
- YES if by December 31, 2029:
- Northern Command HQ captured or surrendered
- Myitkyina Air Base under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA administering civilian affairs