Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 60.2%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 nov. 24, 20:26 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiWill John Thune run for reelection?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
John Thune is the Republican Party's newly elected Senate Leader as of Nov 2024.
- As of his election, he is 63 years old.
- He succeeds Mitch McConnell, who is the longest-serving Senate leader in US history, leading the Republicans since 2007.
- This question resolves YES if John Thune ceases to be the Senate Republican Leader (for any reason, e.g. death, resignation, ousting) before the end of 2029.
- Otherwise, this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2030.
- Note that the Senate Republican Leader can be either in the majority or in the minority.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : John Thune is the Republican Party's newly elected Senate Leader as of Nov 2024.