Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 58.2%
Prévisionnistes
67
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète28 févr. 25, 09:56 UTC20 janv. 29, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, will Joe Biden win in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden outlive Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden outlive Hunter Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiWhich cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if:
- Joe Biden is still alive when Donald Trump's current presidential term ends (normally January 20, 2029), or if Trump's presidency ends earlier for any reason (resignation, removal from office, death) and Biden is still alive at that time.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
- Joe Biden dies before Trump's presidency concludes.
- Market will continue in the event of a Trump presidency continuing beyond January 20th 2029, until one of the conditions are met.
